{"meta":{"title":"Statistical tests on the record","description":"Hypothesis tests on the data this dashboard publishes: whether the identified dead are confined to men of fighting age, whether killing continued through the ceasefires, whether the ICJ orders changed the daily death rate, the West Bank before and after 7 October 2023, the integrity of the Ministry of Health named list, and recognition of Palestine against governments calling it genocide.","generated":"2026-10-02","correction":"p-values are adjusted for the false discovery rate (Benjamini-Hochberg, 5%) across all 30 tests run in the analysis.","caution":"A change in a series at a dated event is an association, not proof that the event caused it. Tests on the named list inherit any bias in who has been identified.","findings":[{"head":"The named list of the dead is genuine on every internal test.","text":"Every one of the 72,835 identity numbers on the Ministry of Health list passes the Population Registry check digit, which a fabricated number passes about one time in ten; none is duplicated; and every stated age agrees with its date of birth.","test":"H6a"},{"head":"The dead are not confined to men of fighting age.","text":"Just over half of the identified dead are women, children or people aged 60 and over.","test":"H1b"},{"head":"Every ceasefire cut the rate of killing, and none stopped it.","text":"Killings continued through the November 2023 pause, the January to March 2025 ceasefire and the ceasefire in force since October 2025.","test":"H2c"},{"head":"The three ICJ provisional measures orders of 2024 were not followed by any detectable fall in the daily death rate.","text":"","test":"H3a"},{"head":"In the West Bank, Palestinians were killed at more than four times the earlier rate after 7 October 2023,","text":"and settler incidents in 2024 ran at about three and a half times the 2022 rate.","test":"H4a"},{"head":"No state that withholds recognition of Palestine has a government that has called the conduct in Gaza genocide;","text":"50 recognising states do.","test":"H8b"},{"head":"Settlers who attack Palestinians are rarely convicted.","text":"Only 3% of the police files Yesh Din followed ended in a conviction, and an indicted settler is convicted about half the time, against 99.7% for Palestinians in the military courts.","test":"H9a"},{"head":"In Area C, under 1% of Palestinian building applications are approved,","text":"and an unpermitted Palestinian structure is about two and a half times as likely to be demolished as a settler's.","test":"H10b"},{"head":"Food prices rose by about 30% during the total blockade of 2025,","text":"and across the war food has cost about three times its pre-war price.","test":"H11a"},{"head":"Administrative detention without charge is nearly eight times its 2008-2022 level.","text":"","test":"H13"},{"head":"Journalists have been killed at more than four times the rate of the Iraq war and seven times that of Syria's,","text":"on CPJ's lowest count.","test":"H14a"},{"head":"Destroyed buildings rose at every satellite assessment, and about 11,000 more were recorded destroyed after the October 2025 ceasefire.","text":"","test":"H15b"},{"head":"In the 2008-09 and 2014 Gaza wars, most of those killed took no part in the hostilities, on B'Tselem's case-by-case count.","text":"","test":"H16c"}],"method":[{"title":"Tests","text":"Counts are modelled as negative binomial, after a likelihood-ratio test rejected the Poisson model in every series where it was applied. Time series use Newey-West standard errors with a lag of seven days. Rates are compared with the exact conditional test for two Poisson rates. Two-by-two tables use Fisher's exact test."},{"title":"Multiple testing","text":"p-values are adjusted for the false discovery rate (Benjamini-Hochberg, 5%) across all the 30 tests with a p-value. Both raw and adjusted p-values are reported."},{"title":"Caution","text":"A change in a series at a dated event is an association, not proof that the event caused it. Tests on the named list inherit any bias in who has been identified."},{"title":"What the tests are not","text":"A test of a ceasefire or a court order measures whether the death rate changed around a date, not why. A test on the named list measures the list as published, not the deaths it does not contain: the 1,205 counted dead who have not been identified, and the dead still under the rubble, are outside it."},{"title":"Limits","text":"The tests are only as good as the data. The Ministry of Health's daily series changed source during the war (to the Government Media Office from 11 November 2023, and back), carries days on which no report was issued, and, from 2025, separates new killings from bodies recovered only on some days. The named list covers the identified dead only. The population baseline is the PCBS projection for 2023, before the war. Where a test depends on one of these weaknesses, its entry says so, and a sensitivity analysis tests whether the result survives it."}]},"series":{"h2":{"dates":["2023-10-07","2023-10-08","2023-10-09","2023-10-10","2023-10-11","2023-10-12","2023-10-13","2023-10-14","2023-10-15","2023-10-16","2023-10-17","2023-10-18","2023-10-19","2023-10-20","2023-10-21","2023-10-22","2023-10-23","2023-10-24","2023-10-25","2023-10-26","2023-10-27","2023-10-28","2023-10-29","2023-10-30","2023-10-31","2023-11-01","2023-11-02","2023-11-03","2023-11-04","2023-11-05","2023-11-06","2023-11-07","2023-11-08","2023-11-09","2023-11-10","2023-11-11","2023-11-12","2023-11-13","2023-11-14","2023-11-15","2023-11-16","2023-11-17","2023-11-18","2023-11-19","2023-11-20","2023-11-21","2023-11-22","2023-11-23","2023-11-24","2023-11-25","2023-11-26","2023-11-27","2023-11-28","2023-11-29","2023-11-30","2023-12-01","2023-12-02","2023-12-03","2023-12-04","2023-12-05","2023-12-06","2023-12-07","2023-12-08","2023-12-09","2023-12-10","2023-12-11","2023-12-12","2023-12-13","2023-12-14","2023-12-15","2023-12-16","2023-12-17","2023-12-18","2023-12-19","2023-12-20","2023-12-21","2023-12-22","2023-12-23","2023-12-24","2023-12-25","2023-12-26","2023-12-27","2023-12-28","2023-12-29","2023-12-30","2023-12-31","2024-01-01","2024-01-02","2024-01-03","2024-01-04","2024-01-05","2024-01-06","2024-01-07","2024-01-08","2024-01-09","2024-01-10","2024-01-11","2024-01-12","2024-01-13","2024-01-14","2024-01-15","2024-01-16","2024-01-17","2024-01-18","2024-01-19","2024-01-20","2024-01-21","2024-01-22","2024-01-23","2024-01-24","2024-01-25","2024-01-26","2024-01-27","2024-01-28","2024-01-29","2024-01-30","2024-01-31","2024-02-01","2024-02-02","2024-02-03","2024-02-04","2024-02-05","2024-02-06","2024-02-07","2024-02-08","2024-02-09","2024-02-10","2024-02-11","2024-02-12","2024-02-13","2024-02-14","2024-02-15","2024-02-16","2024-02-17","2024-02-18","2024-02-19","2024-02-20","2024-02-21","2024-02-22","2024-02-23","2024-02-24","2024-02-25","2024-02-26","2024-02-27","2024-02-28","2024-02-29","2024-03-01","2024-03-02","2024-03-03","2024-03-04","2024-03-05","2024-03-06","2024-03-07","2024-03-08","2024-03-09","2024-03-10","2024-03-11","2024-03-12","2024-03-13","2024-03-14","2024-03-15","2024-03-16","2024-03-17","2024-03-18","2024-03-19","2024-03-20","2024-03-21","2024-03-22","2024-03-23","2024-03-24","2024-03-25","2024-03-26","2024-03-27","2024-03-28","2024-03-29","2024-03-30","2024-03-31","2024-04-01","2024-04-02","2024-04-03","2024-04-04","2024-04-05","2024-04-06","2024-04-07","2024-04-08","2024-04-09","2024-04-10","2024-04-11","2024-04-12","2024-04-13","2024-04-14","2024-04-15","2024-04-16","2024-04-17","2024-04-18","2024-04-19","2024-04-20","2024-04-21","2024-04-22","2024-04-23","2024-04-24","2024-04-25","2024-04-26","2024-04-27","2024-04-28","2024-04-29","2024-04-30","2024-05-01","2024-05-02","2024-05-03","2024-05-04","2024-05-05","2024-05-06","2024-05-07","2024-05-08","2024-05-09","2024-05-10","2024-05-11","2024-05-12","2024-05-13","2024-05-14","2024-05-15","2024-05-16","2024-05-17","2024-05-18","2024-05-19","2024-05-20","2024-05-21","2024-05-22","2024-05-23","2024-05-24","2024-05-25","2024-05-26","2024-05-27","2024-05-28","2024-05-29","2024-05-30","2024-05-31","2024-06-01","2024-06-02","2024-06-03","2024-06-04","2024-06-05","2024-06-06","2024-06-07","2024-06-08","2024-06-09","2024-06-10","2024-06-11","2024-06-12","2024-06-13","2024-06-14","2024-06-15","2024-06-16","2024-06-17","2024-06-18","2024-06-19","2024-06-20","2024-06-21","2024-06-22","2024-06-23","2024-06-24","2024-06-25","2024-06-26","2024-06-27","2024-06-28","2024-06-29","2024-06-30","2024-07-01","2024-07-02","2024-07-03","2024-07-04","2024-07-05","2024-07-06","2024-07-07","2024-07-08","2024-07-09","2024-07-10","2024-07-11","2024-07-12","2024-07-13","2024-07-14","2024-07-15","2024-07-16","2024-07-17","2024-07-18","2024-07-19","2024-07-20","2024-07-21","2024-07-22","2024-07-23","2024-07-24","2024-07-25","2024-07-26","2024-07-27","2024-07-28","2024-07-29","2024-07-30","2024-07-31","2024-08-01","2024-08-02","2024-08-03","2024-08-04","2024-08-05","2024-08-06","2024-08-07","2024-08-08","2024-08-09","2024-08-10","2024-08-11","2024-08-12","2024-08-13","2024-08-14","2024-08-15","2024-08-16","2024-08-17","2024-08-18","2024-08-19","2024-08-20","2024-08-21","2024-08-22","2024-08-23","2024-08-24","2024-08-25","2024-08-26","2024-08-27","2024-08-28","2024-08-29","2024-08-30","2024-08-31","2024-09-01","2024-09-02","2024-09-03","2024-09-04","2024-09-05","2024-09-06","2024-09-07","2024-09-08","2024-09-09","2024-09-10","2024-09-11","2024-09-12","2024-09-13","2024-09-14","2024-09-15","2024-09-16","2024-09-17","2024-09-18","2024-09-19","2024-09-20","2024-09-21","2024-09-22","2024-09-23","2024-09-24","2024-09-25","2024-09-26","2024-09-27","2024-09-28","2024-09-29","2024-09-30","2024-10-01","2024-10-02","2024-10-03","2024-10-04","2024-10-05","2024-10-06","2024-10-07","2024-10-08","2024-10-09","2024-10-10","2024-10-11","2024-10-12","2024-10-13","2024-10-14","2024-10-15","2024-10-16","2024-10-17","2024-10-18","2024-10-19","2024-10-20","2024-10-21","2024-10-22","2024-10-23","2024-10-24","2024-10-25","2024-10-26","2024-10-27","2024-10-28","2024-10-29","2024-10-30","2024-10-31","2024-11-01","2024-11-02","2024-11-03","2024-11-04","2024-11-05","2024-11-06","2024-11-07","2024-11-08","2024-11-09","2024-11-10","2024-11-11","2024-11-12","2024-11-13","2024-11-14","2024-11-15","2024-11-16","2024-11-17","2024-11-18","2024-11-19","2024-11-20","2024-11-21","2024-11-22","2024-11-23","2024-11-24","2024-11-25","2024-11-26","2024-11-27","2024-11-28","2024-11-29","2024-11-30","2024-12-01","2024-12-02","2024-12-03","2024-12-04","2024-12-05","2024-12-06","2024-12-07","2024-12-08","2024-12-09","2024-12-10","2024-12-11","2024-12-12","2024-12-13","2024-12-14","2024-12-15","2024-12-16","2024-12-17","2024-12-18","2024-12-19","2024-12-20","2024-12-21","2024-12-22","2024-12-23","2024-12-24","2024-12-25","2024-12-26","2024-12-27","2024-12-28","2024-12-29","2024-12-30","2024-12-31","2025-01-01","2025-01-02","2025-01-03","2025-01-04","2025-01-05","2025-01-06","2025-01-07","2025-01-08","2025-01-09","2025-01-10","2025-01-11","2025-01-12","2025-01-13","2025-01-14","2025-01-15","2025-01-16","2025-01-17","2025-01-18","2025-01-19","2025-01-20","2025-01-21","2025-01-22","2025-01-23","2025-01-24","2025-01-25","2025-01-26","2025-01-27","2025-01-28","2025-01-29","2025-01-30","2025-01-31","2025-02-01","2025-02-02","2025-02-03","2025-02-04","2025-02-05","2025-02-06","2025-02-07","2025-02-08","2025-02-09","2025-02-10","2025-02-11","2025-02-12","2025-02-13","2025-02-14","2025-02-15","2025-02-16","2025-02-17","2025-02-18","2025-02-19","2025-02-20","2025-02-21","2025-02-22","2025-02-23","2025-02-24","2025-02-25","2025-02-26","2025-02-27","2025-02-28","2025-03-01","2025-03-02","2025-03-03","2025-03-04","2025-03-05","2025-03-06","2025-03-07","2025-03-08","2025-03-09","2025-03-10","2025-03-11","2025-03-12","2025-03-13","2025-03-14","2025-03-15","2025-03-16","2025-03-17","2025-03-18","2025-03-19","2025-03-20","2025-03-21","2025-03-22","2025-03-23","2025-03-24","2025-03-25","2025-03-26","2025-03-27","2025-03-28","2025-03-29","2025-03-30","2025-03-31","2025-04-01","2025-04-02","2025-04-03","2025-04-04","2025-04-05","2025-04-06","2025-04-07","2025-04-08","2025-04-09","2025-04-10","2025-04-11","2025-04-12","2025-04-13","2025-04-14","2025-04-15","2025-04-16","2025-04-17","2025-04-18","2025-04-19","2025-04-20","2025-04-21","2025-04-22","2025-04-23","2025-04-24","2025-04-25","2025-04-26","2025-04-27","2025-04-28","2025-04-29","2025-04-30","2025-05-01","2025-05-02","2025-05-03","2025-05-04","2025-05-05","2025-05-06","2025-05-07","2025-05-08","2025-05-09","2025-05-10","2025-05-11","2025-05-12","2025-05-13","2025-05-14","2025-05-15","2025-05-16","2025-05-17","2025-05-18","2025-05-19","2025-05-20","2025-05-21","2025-05-22","2025-05-23","2025-05-24","2025-05-25","2025-05-26","2025-05-27","2025-05-28","2025-05-29","2025-05-30","2025-05-31","2025-06-01","2025-06-02","2025-06-03","2025-06-04","2025-06-05","2025-06-06","2025-06-07","2025-06-08","2025-06-09","2025-06-10","2025-06-11","2025-06-12","2025-06-13","2025-06-14","2025-06-15","2025-06-16","2025-06-17","2025-06-18","2025-06-19","2025-06-20","2025-06-21","2025-06-22","2025-06-23","2025-06-24","2025-06-25","2025-06-26","2025-06-27","2025-06-28","2025-06-29","2025-06-30","2025-07-01","2025-07-02","2025-07-03","2025-07-04","2025-07-05","2025-07-06","2025-07-07","2025-07-08","2025-07-09","2025-07-10","2025-07-11","2025-07-12","2025-07-13","2025-07-14","2025-07-15","2025-07-16","2025-07-17","2025-07-18","2025-07-19","2025-07-20","2025-07-21","2025-07-22","2025-07-23","2025-07-24","2025-07-25","2025-07-26","2025-07-27","2025-07-28","2025-07-29","2025-07-30","2025-07-31","2025-08-01","2025-08-02","2025-08-03","2025-08-04","2025-08-05","2025-08-06","2025-08-07","2025-08-08","2025-08-09","2025-08-10","2025-08-11","2025-08-12","2025-08-13","2025-08-14","2025-08-15","2025-08-16","2025-08-17","2025-08-18","2025-08-19","2025-08-20","2025-08-21","2025-08-22","2025-08-23","2025-08-24","2025-08-25","2025-08-26","2025-08-27","2025-08-28","2025-08-29","2025-08-30","2025-08-31","2025-09-01","2025-09-02","2025-09-03","2025-09-04","2025-09-05","2025-09-06","2025-09-07","2025-09-08","2025-09-09","2025-09-10","2025-09-11","2025-09-12","2025-09-13","2025-09-14","2025-09-15","2025-09-16","2025-09-17","2025-09-18","2025-09-19","2025-09-20","2025-09-21","2025-09-22","2025-09-23","2025-09-24","2025-09-25","2025-09-26","2025-09-27","2025-09-28","2025-09-29","2025-09-30","2025-10-01","2025-10-02","2025-10-03","2025-10-04","2025-10-05","2025-10-06","2025-10-07","2025-10-08","2025-10-09","2025-10-10","2025-10-11","2025-10-12","2025-10-13","2025-10-14","2025-10-15","2025-10-16","2025-10-17","2025-10-18","2025-10-19","2025-10-20","2025-10-21","2025-10-22","2025-10-23","2025-10-24","2025-10-25","2025-10-26","2025-10-27","2025-10-28","2025-10-29","2025-10-30","2025-10-31","2025-11-01","2025-11-02","2025-11-03","2025-11-04","2025-11-05","2025-11-06","2025-11-07","2025-11-08","2025-11-09","2025-11-10","2025-11-11","2025-11-12","2025-11-13","2025-11-14","2025-11-15","2025-11-16","2025-11-17","2025-11-18","2025-11-19","2025-11-20","2025-11-21","2025-11-22","2025-11-23","2025-11-24","2025-11-25","2025-11-26","2025-11-27","2025-11-28","2025-11-29","2025-11-30","2025-12-01","2025-12-02","2025-12-03","2025-12-04","2025-12-05","2025-12-06","2025-12-07","2025-12-08","2025-12-09","2025-12-10","2025-12-11","2025-12-12","2025-12-13","2025-12-14","2025-12-15","2025-12-16","2025-12-17","2025-12-18","2025-12-19","2025-12-20","2025-12-21","2025-12-22","2025-12-23","2025-12-24","2025-12-25","2025-12-26","2025-12-27","2025-12-28","2025-12-29","2025-12-30","2025-12-31","2026-01-01","2026-01-02","2026-01-03","2026-01-04","2026-01-05","2026-01-06","2026-01-07","2026-01-08","2026-01-09","2026-01-10","2026-01-11","2026-01-12","2026-01-13","2026-01-14","2026-01-15","2026-01-16","2026-01-17","2026-01-18","2026-01-19","2026-01-20","2026-01-21","2026-01-22","2026-01-23","2026-01-24","2026-01-25","2026-01-26","2026-01-27","2026-01-28","2026-01-29","2026-01-30","2026-01-31","2026-02-01","2026-02-02","2026-02-03","2026-02-04","2026-02-05","2026-02-06","2026-02-07","2026-02-08","2026-02-09","2026-02-10","2026-02-11","2026-02-12","2026-02-13","2026-02-14","2026-02-15","2026-02-16","2026-02-17","2026-02-18","2026-02-19","2026-02-20","2026-02-21","2026-02-22","2026-02-23","2026-02-24","2026-02-25","2026-02-26","2026-02-27","2026-02-28","2026-03-01","2026-03-02","2026-03-03","2026-03-04","2026-03-05","2026-03-06","2026-03-07","2026-03-08","2026-03-09","2026-03-10","2026-03-11","2026-03-12","2026-03-13","2026-03-14","2026-03-15","2026-03-16","2026-03-17","2026-03-18","2026-03-19","2026-03-20","2026-03-21","2026-03-22","2026-03-23","2026-03-24","2026-03-25","2026-03-26","2026-03-27","2026-03-28","2026-03-29","2026-03-30","2026-03-31","2026-04-01","2026-04-02","2026-04-03","2026-04-04","2026-04-05","2026-04-06","2026-04-07","2026-04-08","2026-04-09","2026-04-10","2026-04-11","2026-04-12","2026-04-13","2026-04-14","2026-04-15","2026-04-16","2026-04-17","2026-04-18","2026-04-19","2026-04-20","2026-04-21","2026-04-22","2026-04-23","2026-04-24","2026-04-25","2026-04-26","2026-04-27","2026-04-28","2026-04-29","2026-04-30","2026-05-01","2026-05-02","2026-05-03","2026-05-04","2026-05-05","2026-05-06","2026-05-07","2026-05-08","2026-05-09","2026-05-10","2026-05-11","2026-05-12","2026-05-13","2026-05-14","2026-05-15","2026-05-16","2026-05-17","2026-05-18","2026-05-19","2026-05-20","2026-05-21","2026-05-22","2026-05-23","2026-05-24","2026-05-25","2026-05-26","2026-05-27","2026-05-28","2026-05-29","2026-05-30","2026-05-31","2026-06-01","2026-06-02","2026-06-03","2026-06-04","2026-06-05","2026-06-06","2026-06-07","2026-06-08","2026-06-09","2026-06-10","2026-06-11","2026-06-12","2026-06-13","2026-06-14","2026-06-15","2026-06-16","2026-06-17","2026-06-18","2026-06-19","2026-06-20","2026-06-21","2026-06-22","2026-06-23","2026-06-24","2026-06-25","2026-06-26","2026-06-27","2026-06-28","2026-06-29","2026-06-30","2026-07-01","2026-07-02","2026-07-03","2026-07-04","2026-07-05","2026-07-06","2026-07-07","2026-07-08","2026-07-09","2026-07-10","2026-07-11","2026-07-12","2026-07-13","2026-07-14","2026-07-15","2026-07-16","2026-07-17","2026-07-18","2026-07-19","2026-07-20","2026-07-21","2026-07-22","2026-07-23","2026-07-24","2026-07-25","2026-07-26","2026-07-27","2026-07-28","2026-07-29","2026-07-30","2026-07-31","2026-08-01","2026-08-02","2026-08-03","2026-08-04","2026-08-05","2026-08-06","2026-08-07","2026-08-08","2026-08-09","2026-08-10","2026-08-11","2026-08-12","2026-08-13","2026-08-14","2026-08-15","2026-08-16","2026-08-17","2026-08-18","2026-08-19","2026-08-20","2026-08-21","2026-08-22","2026-08-23","2026-08-24","2026-08-25","2026-08-26","2026-08-27","2026-08-28","2026-08-29","2026-08-30","2026-08-31","2026-09-01","2026-09-02","2026-09-03","2026-09-04","2026-09-05","2026-09-06","2026-09-07","2026-09-08","2026-09-09","2026-09-10","2026-09-11","2026-09-12","2026-09-13","2026-09-14","2026-09-15","2026-09-16","2026-09-17","2026-09-18","2026-09-19","2026-09-20","2026-09-21","2026-09-22","2026-09-23","2026-09-24","2026-09-25","2026-09-26","2026-09-27","2026-09-28","2026-09-29","2026-09-30","2026-10-01"],"total":[232,138,190,340,200,317,483,328,442,138,192,478,307,352,248,266,436,704,756,481,298,377,302,304,216,280,256,196,228,285,252,306,241,249,260,51,51,60,80,180,500,0,300,700,300,828,404,268,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,407,316,376,349,579,350,310,213,297,208,207,196,179,13,217,218,218,214,130,130,130,201,166,250,241,195,210,187,165,150,156,207,128,125,162,122,113,249,126,147,112,239,135,125,132,185,163,172,142,165,178,190,195,210,200,183,174,165,215,114,149,119,112,107,127,113,107,123,132,107,117,112,164,133,103,87,112,83,127,107,103,118,97,104,92,86,90,96,76,81,193,92,90,124,97,86,83,78,82,85,67,72,88,69,149,63,92,81,93,104,65,82,72,84,107,81,76,62,71,82,77,63,71,59,62,54,46,38,32,153,122,63,89,52,43,68,46,56,71,42,37,48,54,32,79,43,51,32,66,34,47,33,28,26,32,29,52,54,55,60,39,28,63,57,82,60,39,31,83,70,106,85,62,91,57,46,81,66,46,75,53,60,95,60,40,71,36,68,77,70,283,40,40,38,30,34,30,41,10,25,24,35,19,101,47,28,32,60,47,29,40,43,23,25,28,58,58,29,55,40,50,52,50,37,61,141,80,49,81,54,34,37,64,23,84,55,30,42,41,66,39,37,45,35,39,31,33,40,30,24,22,51,40,0,107,32,36,40,0,69,25,40,34,50,42,0,69,71,30,41,58,68,0,89,47,48,33,42,17,0,61,33,16,32,64,34,0,64,24,20,26,20,0,0,119,40,24,12,28,39,0,52,9,20,23,51,99,14,23,45,39,56,45,55,61,49,52,62,55,65,29,62,19,84,0,115,74,55,0,77,0,96,41,102,41,55,55,27,33,17,0,78,39,44,51,0,62,47,24,28,35,47,76,50,13,71,0,120,35,24,14,33,48,33,19,47,37,36,30,48,32,52,44,50,28,19,30,40,55,46,52,31,38,32,77,21,32,58,21,23,38,37,48,30,27,0,12,28,77,59,88,49,31,51,70,0,531,28,19,61,62,81,88,23,14,122,72,54,122,0,0,23,11,37,63,43,0,27,11,20,22,12,31,0,598,8,19,11,3,17,0,25,7,13,7,6,22,0,10,10,7,2,0,17,0,23,0,9,8,35,6,0,7,5,9,36,12,9,0,19,29,5,436,604,85,0,45,274,61,62,39,25,43,26,53,27,42,24,100,86,60,26,57,58,36,40,26,21,11,39,17,25,40,0,92,44,39,26,39,50,84,56,748,71,51,35,18,0,77,40,32,48,38,107,27,23,19,33,46,20,82,109,153,67,136,98,82,107,60,79,38,38,79,28,165,72,60,37,52,40,97,70,0,95,108,47,54,123,103,0,90,65,70,61,144,69,0,202,51,39,79,79,103,72,81,88,31,116,365,118,138,70,80,105,52,105,82,61,59,144,360,93,94,94,0,98,130,134,77,113,368,89,57,88,100,113,104,111,83,98,409,94,87,138,100,72,39,61,69,100,123,54,51,70,47,60,60,58,70,71,359,64,58,75,76,71,59,346,88,98,76,113,485,69,68,87,67,83,51,62,38,47,68,34,59,98,79,33,34,75,61,38,37,83,47,377,79,50,42,51,77,63,786,65,21,13,10,11,17,471,124,63,44,25,29,0,149,43,57,13,5,46,0,239,0,8,4,104,8,0,215,7,10,4,3,0,0,287,7,3,3,3,2,0,0,296,23,0,7,33,0,187,23,2,17,10,14,0,301,3,9,0,5,8,0,229,6,5,1,3,4,0,281,9,2,2,1,1,0,256,0,12,5,0,0,3,321,0,1,0,2,2,0,113,2,2,3,0,4,14,0,3,7,5,15,2,14,93,0,2,1,0,11,0,92,3,3,2,5,0,0,102,26,5,3,21,27,0,176,0,5,5,8,4,0,2,10,2,0,4,2,0,1,2,1,0,9,0,0,13,1,1,19,1,3,0,3,3,7,1,1,1,0,98,5,8,2,4,0,0,0,1,9,0,2,2,0,1,10,2,5,4,0,0,0,4,9,10,3,2,0,11,1,4,3,8,1,0,204,2,2,7,2,6,0,17,2,6,1,5,2,0,7,2,2,3,4,9,0,108,1,3,2,2,0,13,0,6,6,3,1,2,0,8,8,6,6,0,16,0,119,1,2,1,3,11,0,5,10,9,8,3,0,0,2,3,7,5,8,2,0,5,9,3,4,2,2,0,8,3,4,8,4,4,0,16,3,5,4,8,8,0,103,2,8,2,13,4,0,19,11,3,10,12,6,0,6,9,3,4,2,6,0,8,7,19,2,4,1,0,2,2,0,1,1,1,0,2,0,8,1,7,10,0,2,1,2,9,7,1,0,10,5,2,6,8,4,0,177,0,7,4,7,1,0,113,1,2,3,6,26,0,89,0,4,5,3,6,0,88,2,4,1,9,8],"new":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2,0,1,0,0,2,0,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14,122,72,54,2,0,0,4,0,0,2,0,0,1,0,1,0,0,2,0,4,1,3,3,1,3,0,25,1,4,1,3,0,0,2,10,2,1,0,17,0,2,0,5,0,4,6,0,6,5,4,4,7,2,0,7,14,1,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,17,35,7,3,6,8,4,0,4,8,45,7,1,1,0,4,0,8,1,96,0,0,5,3,2,3,1,0,0,1,1,1,3,3,1,0,0,2,0,0,5,32,0,7,21,0,3,2,0,0,1,2,0,0,4,6,0,1,6,3,1,2,4,0,2,5,2,2,1,1,0,6,0,4,1,0,0,1,4,0,0,0,1,1,0,2,2,2,2,0,1,14,0,3,2,5,2,2,12,1,0,1,1,0,11,0,4,3,2,2,4,0,0,17,26,3,3,21,27,0,2,0,5,5,5,0,0,0,10,2,0,4,2,0,1,2,1,0,3,0,0,0,1,1,1,1,3,0,3,1,7,1,1,1,0,7,4,8,2,3,0,0,0,0,8,0,2,1,0,1,10,0,5,4,0,0,0,1,7,10,0,2,0,11,1,4,3,8,0,0,7,1,2,7,1,6,0,17,2,5,1,4,1,0,4,2,2,2,3,6,0,4,1,3,2,0,0,12,0,2,6,2,1,2,0,7,0,5,2,0,16,0,6,1,2,1,3,11,0,2,10,9,7,0,0,0,2,3,6,5,2,2,0,0,9,3,2,2,2,0,6,3,4,8,0,2,0,6,0,3,0,8,7,0,6,2,7,2,12,3,0,16,11,3,9,11,3,0,4,7,2,3,1,4,0,7,6,18,2,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,1,0,2,0,2,0,7,10,0,2,1,2,6,5,0,0,9,4,2,5,7,0,0,5,0,5,0,2,1,0,10,0,2,3,6,24,0,4,0,1,4,3,5,0,6,2,4,1,8,8],"periods":[{"label":"November 2023 pause","from":"2023-11-24","to":"2023-11-30"},{"label":"January-March 2025 ceasefire","from":"2025-01-19","to":"2025-03-17"},{"label":"October 2025 ceasefire","from":"2025-10-10","to":"2026-10-01"}]},"h3":{"dates":["2023-12-01","2023-12-02","2023-12-03","2023-12-04","2023-12-05","2023-12-06","2023-12-07","2023-12-08","2023-12-09","2023-12-10","2023-12-11","2023-12-12","2023-12-13","2023-12-14","2023-12-15","2023-12-16","2023-12-17","2023-12-18","2023-12-19","2023-12-20","2023-12-21","2023-12-22","2023-12-23","2023-12-24","2023-12-25","2023-12-26","2023-12-27","2023-12-28","2023-12-29","2023-12-30","2023-12-31","2024-01-01","2024-01-02","2024-01-03","2024-01-04","2024-01-05","2024-01-06","2024-01-07","2024-01-08","2024-01-09","2024-01-10","2024-01-11","2024-01-12","2024-01-13","2024-01-14","2024-01-15","2024-01-16","2024-01-17","2024-01-18","2024-01-19","2024-01-20","2024-01-21","2024-01-22","2024-01-23","2024-01-24","2024-01-25","2024-01-26","2024-01-27","2024-01-28","2024-01-29","2024-01-30","2024-01-31","2024-02-01","2024-02-02","2024-02-03","2024-02-04","2024-02-05","2024-02-06","2024-02-07","2024-02-08","2024-02-09","2024-02-10","2024-02-11","2024-02-12","2024-02-13","2024-02-14","2024-02-15","2024-02-16","2024-02-17","2024-02-18","2024-02-19","2024-02-20","2024-02-21","2024-02-22","2024-02-23","2024-02-24","2024-02-25","2024-02-26","2024-02-27","2024-02-28","2024-02-29","2024-03-01","2024-03-02","2024-03-03","2024-03-04","2024-03-05","2024-03-06","2024-03-07","2024-03-08","2024-03-09","2024-03-10","2024-03-11","2024-03-12","2024-03-13","2024-03-14","2024-03-15","2024-03-16","2024-03-17","2024-03-18","2024-03-19","2024-03-20","2024-03-21","2024-03-22","2024-03-23","2024-03-24","2024-03-25","2024-03-26","2024-03-27","2024-03-28","2024-03-29","2024-03-30","2024-03-31","2024-04-01","2024-04-02","2024-04-03","2024-04-04","2024-04-05","2024-04-06","2024-04-07","2024-04-08","2024-04-09","2024-04-10","2024-04-11","2024-04-12","2024-04-13","2024-04-14","2024-04-15","2024-04-16","2024-04-17","2024-04-18","2024-04-19","2024-04-20","2024-04-21","2024-04-22","2024-04-23","2024-04-24","2024-04-25","2024-04-26","2024-04-27","2024-04-28","2024-04-29","2024-04-30","2024-05-01","2024-05-02","2024-05-03","2024-05-04","2024-05-05","2024-05-06","2024-05-07","2024-05-08","2024-05-09","2024-05-10","2024-05-11","2024-05-12","2024-05-13","2024-05-14","2024-05-15","2024-05-16","2024-05-17","2024-05-18","2024-05-19","2024-05-20","2024-05-21","2024-05-22","2024-05-23","2024-05-24","2024-05-25","2024-05-26","2024-05-27","2024-05-28","2024-05-29","2024-05-30","2024-05-31","2024-06-01","2024-06-02","2024-06-03","2024-06-04","2024-06-05","2024-06-06","2024-06-07","2024-06-08","2024-06-09","2024-06-10","2024-06-11","2024-06-12","2024-06-13","2024-06-14","2024-06-15","2024-06-16","2024-06-17","2024-06-18","2024-06-19","2024-06-20","2024-06-21","2024-06-22","2024-06-23","2024-06-24","2024-06-25","2024-06-26","2024-06-27","2024-06-28","2024-06-29","2024-06-30","2024-07-01","2024-07-02","2024-07-03","2024-07-04","2024-07-05","2024-07-06","2024-07-07","2024-07-08","2024-07-09","2024-07-10","2024-07-11","2024-07-12","2024-07-13","2024-07-14","2024-07-15","2024-07-16","2024-07-17","2024-07-18","2024-07-19","2024-07-20","2024-07-21","2024-07-22","2024-07-23","2024-07-24","2024-07-25","2024-07-26","2024-07-27","2024-07-28","2024-07-29","2024-07-30","2024-07-31"],"observed":[0,407,316,376,349,579,350,310,213,297,208,207,196,179,13,217,218,218,214,130,130,130,201,166,250,241,195,210,187,165,150,156,207,128,125,162,122,113,249,126,147,112,239,135,125,132,185,163,172,142,165,178,190,195,210,200,183,174,165,215,114,149,119,112,107,127,113,107,123,132,107,117,112,164,133,103,87,112,83,127,107,103,118,97,104,92,86,90,96,76,81,193,92,90,124,97,86,83,78,82,85,67,72,88,69,149,63,92,81,93,104,65,82,72,84,107,81,76,62,71,82,77,63,71,59,62,54,46,38,32,153,122,63,89,52,43,68,46,56,71,42,37,48,54,32,79,43,51,32,66,34,47,33,28,26,32,29,52,54,55,60,39,28,63,57,82,60,39,31,83,70,106,85,62,91,57,46,81,66,46,75,53,60,95,60,40,71,36,68,77,70,283,40,40,38,30,34,30,41,10,25,24,35,19,101,47,28,32,60,47,29,40,43,23,25,28,58,58,29,55,40,50,52,50,37,61,141,80,49,81,54,34,37,64,23,84,55,30,42,41,66,39,37,45],"fitted":[263.9,261.0,258.1,255.3,252.5,249.7,246.9,244.2,241.5,238.9,236.3,233.7,231.1,228.6,226.0,223.6,221.1,218.7,216.3,213.9,211.5,209.2,206.9,204.6,202.4,200.2,198.0,195.8,193.6,191.5,189.4,187.3,185.3,183.2,181.2,179.2,177.2,175.3,173.4,171.5,169.6,167.7,165.9,164.0,162.2,160.5,158.7,156.9,155.2,153.5,151.8,150.2,148.5,146.9,145.3,143.7,143.0,141.5,140.1,138.6,137.2,135.8,134.4,133.0,131.7,130.3,129.0,127.7,126.3,125.1,123.8,122.5,121.2,120.0,118.8,117.6,116.4,115.2,114.0,112.8,111.7,110.5,109.4,108.3,107.1,106.0,105.0,103.9,102.8,101.8,100.7,99.7,98.7,97.7,96.7,95.7,94.7,93.7,92.8,91.8,90.9,89.9,89.0,88.1,87.2,86.3,85.4,84.5,83.7,82.8,82.0,81.1,80.3,79.5,78.7,77.9,77.1,76.3,61.9,61.7,61.6,61.4,61.3,61.1,61.0,60.9,60.7,60.6,60.5,60.3,60.2,60.0,59.9,59.8,59.6,59.5,59.4,59.2,59.1,59.0,58.8,58.7,58.6,58.4,58.3,58.2,58.0,57.9,57.8,57.6,57.5,57.4,57.2,57.1,57.0,56.8,56.7,56.6,56.5,56.3,56.2,56.1,55.9,55.8,55.7,55.6,55.4,55.3,55.2,55.1,54.9,54.8,54.7,54.6,54.4,60.6,60.3,60.1,59.8,59.6,59.3,59.1,58.8,58.6,58.4,58.1,57.9,57.6,57.4,57.2,56.9,56.7,56.5,56.2,56.0,55.8,55.5,55.3,55.1,54.9,54.6,54.4,54.2,54.0,53.7,53.5,53.3,53.1,52.9,52.6,52.4,52.2,52.0,51.8,51.6,51.3,51.1,50.9,50.7,50.5,50.3,50.1,49.9,49.7,49.5,49.3,49.1,48.9,48.7,48.5,48.3,48.1,47.9,47.7,47.5,47.3,47.1,46.9,46.7,46.5,46.3,46.1,45.9,45.7],"orders":[{"id":"H3a","date":"2024-01-26"},{"id":"H3b","date":"2024-03-28"},{"id":"H3c","date":"2024-05-24"}]},"h11":{"months":["2023-11","2023-12","2024-01","2024-02","2024-03","2024-04","2024-05","2024-06","2024-07","2024-08","2024-09","2024-10","2024-11","2024-12","2025-01","2025-02","2025-03","2025-04","2025-05","2025-06","2025-07","2025-08","2025-09","2025-10","2025-11","2025-12","2026-01","2026-02","2026-03","2026-04","2026-05","2026-06","2026-07","2026-08"],"index":[1.533,2.408,2.835,3.614,3.963,2.872,2.713,2.375,2.225,2.523,3.687,4.795,6.072,6.078,3.78,1.801,2.595,4.884,7.163,11.772,11.549,8.349,5.556,3.645,2.016,1.647,1.655,1.58,2.309,2.053,2.05,2.072,1.978,1.997],"items":32},"h13":{"years":["2008","2009","2010","2011","2012","2013","2014","2015","2016","2017","2018","2019","2020","2021","2022","2023","2024","2025","2026"],"admin":[546,278,204,307,178,150,463,584,535,437,494,464,355,495,784,3242,3327,3329,3233],"combatants":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,626,1881,1235,1317]},"h14":[{"name":"Gaza war, killed by Israel (CPJ after its June 2026 review)","killed":209,"years":2.73,"per_year":76.6},{"name":"Iraq war","killed":150,"years":8.74,"per_year":17.2},{"name":"Syrian civil war","killed":141,"years":13.74,"per_year":10.3}],"h15":{"dates":["2023-11-07","2023-11-26","2024-01-07","2024-02-29","2024-05-03","2024-07-06","2024-09-06","2024-12-01","2025-04-04","2025-07-08","2025-10-11","2026-06-16"],"destroyed":[6583,10049,22130,31198,36591,46223,52564,60368,70436,102067,123464,134422],"affected":[25050,37379,69146,88868,137297,156409,163778,170812,174486,192812,198273,201290]},"h6":{"ages":[1072,1052,1113,1045,1011,1116,1077,1140,1064,1088,1085,1150,1218,1329,1453,1425,1591,1608,1648,1708,1628,1589,1612,1555,1489,1516,1543,1576,1678,1818,1743,1673,1737,1598,1561,1462,1325,1271,1103,1106,934,921,810,828,759,698,648,654,600,572,585,509,471,477,466,428,475,437,401,412,438,382,351,314,291,294,268,264,237,231,234,177,192,181,185,144,137,118,91,66,66,83,78,49,44,31,46,38,25,25,14,27,15,9,3,3,8,9,1,0,1]}},"groups":{"H1":"Who is killed: age and sex against the population","H2":"The ceasefires","H3":"The ICJ provisional measures orders","H4":"The West Bank before and after 7 October 2023","H6":"Is the named list genuine?","H8":"What states have done","H9":"Settler violence and the courts","H10":"Building and demolition in Area C","H11":"Food prices in Gaza","H13":"Detention without charge","H14":"Journalists killed","H15":"The destruction of buildings","H16":"Earlier Gaza wars: who was killed"},"tests":[{"id":"H1b","group":"H1","title":"Age and sex of the dead: pattern confined to men of fighting age","null":"The identified dead are confined to men aged 18-59.","data":"Ministry of Health named list, 72,835 identified dead; PCBS/UNFPA Gaza Strip population 2023 (2,226,544).","test":"Exact binomial test of the share of women, children and people aged 60 and over against zero","statistic":{"women_children_elderly":37939,"men_18_59":34896,"n":72835},"p":0.0,"effect":{"name":"Share of dead who are women, children under 18 or aged 60+","value":0.5209,"ci":[0.517260664348258,0.5245164965600515],"population_share":0.7549},"ref":"§6.1","p_adjusted":0.0,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"52.1% of the identified dead (95% CI 51.7% to 52.5%) are women, children under 18 or people aged 60 and over, against 75.5% of the population. More than half of the dead fall outside the group from which armed men are drawn: the dead are not confined to men of fighting age."},{"id":"H2a","group":"H2","title":"The November 2023 pause and the daily killing rate","null":"The daily rate of killing during the pause of 24-30 November 2023 equalled the rate in the 14 days before it.","data":"Comparison window: Ministry of Health / Government Media Office daily series (Tech For Palestine), 10-23 November 2023. Pause: killings reported incident by incident (OCHA Flash Updates #49-#55; AP; Al Jazeera).","test":"Negative binomial regression on a pause indicator, Newey-West errors (lag 7)","statistic":{"overdispersion_alpha":1.218,"overdispersion_p":0.0},"p":2.1502422864116134e-79,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, pause against the 14 days before","value":0.0025,"ci":[0.001348295215177294,0.004677485989530692]},"descriptive":{"before_per_day":284.4,"during_per_day":0.71,"during_ci":[0.23,1.67],"during_days":7,"during_killed":5,"incidents":[{"date":"2023-11-24","killed":2,"note":"Two people shot dead returning north (AP, Al Jazeera, Gaza Ministry of Health; OCHA: at least one)"},{"date":"2023-11-26","killed":1,"note":"One man killed by tank fire east of Al-Maghazi (OCHA Flash Update #51)"},{"date":"2023-11-29","killed":2,"note":"Two people killed by Israeli fire in northern Gaza City (OCHA Flash Update #55)"}]},"sensitivity":[{"name":"Exact conditional Poisson test","value":0.0025,"ci":[0.0008149647521340257,0.005865446900026566],"p":0.0},{"name":"Against the upper bound of 40 deaths during the pause","value":0.0201,"ci":[0.014330566740483814,0.02740707521297492],"p":0.0}],"sources":[{"title":"Hostilities in the Gaza Strip and Israel - Flash Update #49","org":"OCHA","date":"24 November 2023","url":"https://www.ochaopt.org/content/hostilities-gaza-strip-and-israel-flash-update-49"},{"title":"Hostilities in the Gaza Strip and Israel - Flash Update #51","org":"OCHA","date":"26 November 2023","url":"https://www.ochaopt.org/content/hostilities-gaza-strip-and-israel-flash-update-51"},{"title":"Hostilities in the Gaza Strip and Israel - Flash Update #53","org":"OCHA","date":"28 November 2023","url":"https://www.ochaopt.org/content/hostilities-gaza-strip-and-israel-flash-update-53"},{"title":"Hostilities in the Gaza Strip and Israel - Flash Update #55","org":"OCHA","date":"30 November 2023","url":"https://www.ochaopt.org/content/hostilities-gaza-strip-and-israel-flash-update-55"},{"title":"Israeli troops fire at Palestinians attempting to return to northern Gaza during cease-fire","org":"Associated Press (PBS NewsHour)","date":"24 November 2023","url":"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/israeli-troops-fire-at-palestinians-attempting-to-return-to-northern-gaza-during-cease-fire"},{"title":"'The war is not over': Israel blocks Palestinians' return to northern Gaza","org":"Al Jazeera","date":"24 November 2023","url":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/24/displaced-people-attempt-to-return-home-across-gaza-as-truce-sets-in"}],"ref":"§13","p_adjusted":9.2153240846212e-79,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Reported killings fell from 284.4 a day in the fortnight before the pause to 0.71 a day during it (rate ratio 0.0025, 95% CI 0.0013 to 0.0047). Killing did not stop: at least 5 people were reported killed in the 7 days. Against the upper bound of 40 deaths the ratio is 0.0201, still a fall of about 98%."},{"id":"H2b","group":"H2","title":"The January-March 2025 ceasefire and the daily killing rate","null":"The daily rate of new killings during the ceasefire (19 Jan 2025 to 17 Mar 2025) equalled the rate in the 60 days before it.","data":"Ministry of Health daily series (Tech For Palestine). Ceasefire days count new killings only where the Ministry separates them from bodies recovered.","test":"Negative binomial regression on a ceasefire indicator, Newey-West errors (lag 7)","statistic":{"overdispersion_alpha":1.651,"overdispersion_p":0.0},"p":0.0005605520405789182,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, ceasefire against the 60 days before","value":0.149,"ci":[0.050598802260787994,0.4396283938881203]},"descriptive":{"before_per_day":48.8,"during_per_day":7.28,"during_ci":[6.6,8.0],"during_days":58,"during_killed":422},"sensitivity":[{"name":"Weekly totals","value":0.152,"ci":[0.06535709085842832,0.3547302198618485],"p":1.2902502890171945e-05},{"name":"New killings only in both windows","value":0.18,"ci":[0.06518230503777639,0.49595735641381966],"p":0.0009178338548543893}],"ref":"§13","p_adjusted":0.0007643891462439795,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"New killings fell from 48.8 a day in the 60 days before to 7.28 a day during the ceasefire (rate ratio 0.149, 95% CI 0.051 to 0.44). Killing continued throughout: 422 new killings were reported in 58 days (95% CI 6.6 to 8.0 a day)."},{"id":"H2c","group":"H2","title":"The October 2025 ceasefire and the daily killing rate","null":"The daily rate of new killings during the ceasefire (10 Oct 2025 to 01 Oct 2026) equalled the rate in the 60 days before it.","data":"Ministry of Health daily series (Tech For Palestine). Ceasefire days count new killings only where the Ministry separates them from bodies recovered.","test":"Negative binomial regression on a ceasefire indicator, Newey-West errors (lag 7)","statistic":{"overdispersion_alpha":1.454,"overdispersion_p":0.0},"p":1.4475676989266635e-73,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, ceasefire against the 60 days before","value":0.039,"ci":[0.02743529696032152,0.055312256373399364]},"descriptive":{"before_per_day":96.1,"during_per_day":3.74,"during_ci":[3.54,3.95],"during_days":357,"during_killed":1336},"sensitivity":[{"name":"Weekly totals","value":0.037,"ci":[0.023386041080628302,0.057620330344167206],"p":8.453356301100016e-47},{"name":"New killings only in both windows","value":0.061,"ci":[0.046540691886794654,0.08003622082905355],"p":6.731538703881247e-91}],"ref":"§13","p_adjusted":4.825225663088879e-73,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"New killings fell from 96.1 a day in the 60 days before to 3.74 a day during the ceasefire (rate ratio 0.039, 95% CI 0.027 to 0.055). Killing continued throughout: 1,336 new killings were reported in 357 days (95% CI 3.54 to 3.95 a day)."},{"id":"H3a","group":"H3","title":"The ICJ order of 26 January 2024 and the daily killing rate","null":"No change in the level or the slope of daily deaths at the order of 26 January 2024.","data":"Ministry of Health daily series (Tech For Palestine), 1 December 2023 to 31 July 2024.","test":"Segmented negative binomial regression (trend, and a level and slope change at each order), Newey-West errors; joint Wald test of level and slope","statistic":{"wald_chi2":0.02,"df":2,"overdispersion_alpha":0.16},"p":0.9893239884744863,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, level change at the order","value":1.006,"ci":[0.808053350101014,1.253078910811594],"slope_change_per_30_days":1.023},"ref":"§13","p_adjusted":0.9893239884744863,"result":"null not rejected","status":"run","reading":"No detectable change in the level or the trend of daily deaths at the order (level rate ratio 1.006, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.3; joint test p = 0.99). The order was not followed by a measurable fall in the rate of killing. This is the absence of a detectable change, not proof that the order had no effect on any conduct."},{"id":"H3b","group":"H3","title":"The ICJ order of 28 March 2024 and the daily killing rate","null":"No change in the level or the slope of daily deaths at the order of 28 March 2024.","data":"Ministry of Health daily series (Tech For Palestine), 1 December 2023 to 31 July 2024.","test":"Segmented negative binomial regression (trend, and a level and slope change at each order), Newey-West errors; joint Wald test of level and slope","statistic":{"wald_chi2":3.7,"df":2,"overdispersion_alpha":0.16},"p":0.15705045065644938,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, level change at the order","value":0.819,"ci":[0.6454033547306263,1.0402274233479245],"slope_change_per_30_days":1.272},"ref":"§13","p_adjusted":0.1745005007293882,"result":"null not rejected","status":"run","reading":"No detectable change in the level or the trend of daily deaths at the order (level rate ratio 0.819, 95% CI 0.65 to 1; joint test p = 0.16). The order was not followed by a measurable fall in the rate of killing. This is the absence of a detectable change, not proof that the order had no effect on any conduct."},{"id":"H3c","group":"H3","title":"The ICJ order of 24 May 2024 and the daily killing rate","null":"No change in the level or the slope of daily deaths at the order of 24 May 2024.","data":"Ministry of Health daily series (Tech For Palestine), 1 December 2023 to 31 July 2024.","test":"Segmented negative binomial regression (trend, and a level and slope change at each order), Newey-West errors; joint Wald test of level and slope","statistic":{"wald_chi2":0.42,"df":2,"overdispersion_alpha":0.16},"p":0.8122036293079367,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, level change at the order","value":1.115,"ci":[0.7026483691552746,1.7698417687613588],"slope_change_per_30_days":0.946},"ref":"§13","p_adjusted":0.8402106510082104,"result":"null not rejected","status":"run","reading":"No detectable change in the level or the trend of daily deaths at the order (level rate ratio 1.115, 95% CI 0.7 to 1.8; joint test p = 0.81). The order was not followed by a measurable fall in the rate of killing. This is the absence of a detectable change, not proof that the order had no effect on any conduct."},{"id":"H4a","group":"H4","title":"West Bank killings before and after 7 October 2023","null":"The daily rate of Palestinians killed in the West Bank was the same after 7 October 2023 as before it, within 2023.","data":"OCHA via the report: 208 killed in 279 days (1 January-6 October 2023); 299 in 86 days (7 October-31 December 2023).","test":"Exact conditional test of two Poisson rates","statistic":{"before_per_day":0.75,"after_per_day":3.48},"p":5.431133330388496e-65,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, after against before","value":4.66,"ci":[3.894070764088673,5.593472517179762]},"ref":"§11","p_adjusted":1.6293399991165488e-64,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Palestinians were killed in the West Bank at 3.48 a day after 7 October 2023 against 0.75 before it, 4.66 times the rate (95% CI 3.89 to 5.59), in a year that was already the deadliest on record before the war began."},{"id":"H4b","group":"H4","title":"Settler incidents against Palestinians, 2024 against 2022","null":"The rate of settler incidents against Palestinians was the same in 2024 as in 2022.","data":"OCHA daily averages via the report: 2 a day in 2022, 7 a day in 2024.","test":"Exact conditional test of two Poisson rates on annual counts reconstructed from the daily averages","statistic":{"2022_per_day":2,"2024_per_day":7},"p":3.1365701239087442e-235,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, 2024 against 2022","value":3.5,"ci":[3.2223452895994904,3.80525686576526]},"sensitivity":[{"name":"At the rounding bounds least favourable to rejection (2.5 and 6.5 a day)","value":2.6,"ci":[2.4086231582413347,2.81034505055818],"p":5.023932564904994e-148}],"ref":"§11","p_adjusted":1.8819420743452468e-234,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Settler incidents ran at 3.5 times the 2022 rate in 2024 (95% CI 3.22 to 3.81), and at 2.6 times even at the rounding bounds least favourable to the finding."},{"id":"H6a","group":"H6","title":"The identity numbers on the named list","null":"The identity numbers are valid Population Registry numbers (pass the check digit).","data":"Ministry of Health named list, 72,835 records.","test":"Share passing the check digit, with its interval; exact binomial test against the 10% expected of fabricated numbers; decision rule: validity rejected if under 99% pass","statistic":{"valid":72835,"n":72835},"p":0.0,"effect":{"name":"Share of identity numbers with a valid check digit","value":1.0,"ci":[0.9999472608467715,1.0]},"decision":"validity not rejected","descriptive":{"duplicate_ids":0,"duplicate_name_and_dob":0,"age_dob_checked":72835,"age_dob_disagree":0},"ref":"§6.1","p_adjusted":0.0,"result":"validity not rejected; the 10% fabrication benchmark is rejected","status":"run","reading":"All 72,835 of the 72,835 identity numbers pass the Population Registry check digit, where fabricated numbers would pass about one time in ten. There are 0 duplicate identity numbers and 0 duplicate name-and-birth-date pairs, and the stated age agrees with the date of birth in 72,835 of 72,835 records. The list as published is consistent with registry data. These tests cannot detect a real identity number attached to someone who did not die; that question needs matching against other records."},{"id":"H6b","group":"H6","title":"Age heaping on the named list","null":"Age reporting shows no more heaping on ages ending in 0 and 5 than a registry-based list would.","data":"As H6a.","test":"Whipple's index (ages 23-62) on the UN scale, and Myers' blended index (ages 10-89), against the PCBS 2017 census","statistic":{"whipple":100.0,"myers":0.85},"p":null,"effect":{"name":"Whipple's index","value":100.0,"scale":"highly accurate","census_whipple":100.0,"census_myers":2.4},"digits":[10.22,9.91,10.0,9.85,9.83,9.67,9.89,10.05,10.0,10.57],"ages":[1072,1052,1113,1045,1011,1116,1077,1140,1064,1088,1085,1150,1218,1329,1453,1425,1591,1608,1648,1708,1628,1589,1612,1555,1489,1516,1543,1576,1678,1818,1743,1673,1737,1598,1561,1462,1325,1271,1103,1106,934,921,810,828,759,698,648,654,600,572,585,509,471,477,466,428,475,437,401,412,438,382,351,314,291,294,268,264,237,231,234,177,192,181,185,144,137,118,91,66,66,83,78,49,44,31,46,38,25,25,14,27,15,9,3,3,8,9,1,0,1],"ref":"§6.1","status":"run","result":"highly accurate","reading":"No age heaping: Whipple's index is 100.0 and Myers' index 0.85, against the 2017 census's 100 and 2.4. Ages on the list follow from registry dates of birth rather than estimates, which is what a list built from identity records, and not from guesses, should show."},{"id":"H8b","group":"H8","title":"Recognition of Palestine and calling it genocide","null":"Whether a UN member state government has called it genocide is independent of whether it recognises Palestine.","data":"World positions dataset, 193 UN member states.","test":"Fisher's exact test (interval with Haldane correction for a zero cell)","statistic":{"recognises_and_yes":50,"recognises_and_no":107,"does_not_and_yes":0,"does_not_and_no":36},"p":9.233605653279527e-06,"effect":{"name":"Odds ratio","value":34.29,"ci":[2.0631915898927997,569.9962377633104]},"ref":"§15.4","p_adjusted":1.4579377347283464e-05,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"50 of 157 recognising states have a government that has called it genocide; none of the 36 non-recognising states has (odds ratio 34.29, with a correction for the empty cell)."},{"id":"H9a","group":"H9","title":"Settlers and Palestinians before Israeli courts in the West Bank","null":"An Israeli indicted for an offence against Palestinians in the West Bank is as likely to be convicted as a Palestinian tried in the military courts.","data":"Yesh Din, 1,701 police files on offences by Israelis against Palestinians, 2005-2024 (109 indictments, 53 full or partial convictions); Israeli military courts' 2010 annual report as reported by Haaretz (9,542 cases, 25 full acquittals).","test":"Fisher's exact test of two proportions","statistic":{"settler_convicted":53,"settler_indicted":109,"palestinian_convicted":9517,"palestinian_cases":9542,"indicted_share_of_concluded":0.066,"indicted_ci":[0.0549881364641959,0.07898692355072345]},"p":1.3290139486277473e-96,"effect":{"name":"Odds ratio, settler conviction against Palestinian conviction","value":0.0025,"ci":[0.0014440745153584777,0.004280218700846542]},"descriptive":{"settler_conviction_rate":0.486,"settler_ci":[0.3944870810519803,0.5789269457485151],"palestinian_conviction_rate":0.9974,"files_ending_in_conviction":0.031},"sources":[{"title":"Data Sheet: Law Enforcement on Israeli Civilians in the West Bank, 2005-2024","org":"Yesh Din","date":"16 January 2025","url":"https://www.yesh-din.org/en/data-sheet-law-enforcement-on-israeli-civilians-in-the-west-bank-settler-violence-2005-2024/"},{"title":"Nearly 100% of all military court cases in West Bank end in conviction","org":"Haaretz","date":"29 November 2011","url":"https://www.haaretz.com/2011-11-29/ty-article/nearly-100-of-all-military-court-cases-in-west-bank-end-in-conviction-haaretz-learns/0000017f-e7c4-da9b-a1ff-efef7ad70000"}],"ref":"§11","p_adjusted":6.6450697431387365e-96,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Of Israelis indicted for offences against Palestinians in the West Bank, 49% were convicted in full or in part (95% CI 39% to 58%); of Palestinians tried in the military courts, 99.74% were. Only 3% of the police files Yesh Din followed ended in any conviction. The two figures come from different years and different courts, and a partial conviction is counted as a conviction on both sides."},{"id":"H9b","group":"H9","title":"Palestinian victims of settler violence who do not complain to the police","null":"No more than half of Palestinian victims of settler violence decline to file a police complaint.","data":"Yesh Din, incidents it documented in 2024: in 101 of 153 the victims chose not to complain.","test":"Exact binomial test against one half (one-sided)","statistic":{"not_filed":101,"incidents":153},"p":4.5882302252588266e-05,"effect":{"name":"Share of victims not filing a complaint","value":0.66,"ci":[0.5919137044570253,1.0]},"ref":"§11","p_adjusted":6.88234533788824e-05,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"In 66% of the attacks Yesh Din documented in 2024, the Palestinian victims chose not to complain to the Israeli police, most citing distrust of the investigation or fear of reprisal. The prosecution figures in H9a therefore start from a minority of the attacks."},{"id":"H10a","group":"H10","title":"Building permits for Palestinians in Area C","null":"Palestinian applications for building permits in Area C are approved at the rate settlers' plans are approved (at least 60%).","data":"Civil Administration and Bimkom figures, 2016-2020: 24 of 2,550 Palestinian applications approved; the Civil Administration's own statement that 60-70% of settlement plans submitted are approved (Knesset, 19 July 2023).","test":"Exact binomial test against the lower bound of the settler approval rate (one-sided)","statistic":{"approved":24,"applications":2550},"p":0.0,"effect":{"name":"Share of Palestinian applications approved","value":0.0094,"ci":[0.0,0.013210902397591975],"benchmark":0.6},"sources":[{"title":"The Civil Administration acknowledges extreme discrimination in building permits and law enforcement between Palestinians and settlers","org":"Peace Now","date":"10 August 2023","url":"https://peacenow.org.il/en/the-civil-administration-acknowledges-extreme-discrimination-in-building-permits-and-law-enforcement-between-palestinians-and-settlers"}],"ref":"§12","p_adjusted":0.0,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Between 2016 and 2020, 24 of 2,550 Palestinian applications for building permits in Area C were approved: 0.9% (95% CI up to 1.3%). The Civil Administration told the Knesset that 60-70% of settlement plans are approved. The units differ (permits against plans), but the gap is more than sixty-fold."},{"id":"H10b","group":"H10","title":"Demolition of unpermitted structures: Palestinian and settler","null":"An unpermitted Palestinian structure in Area C is as likely to be demolished as an unpermitted settler structure.","data":"Civil Administration figures, 2022 to mid-2023: 770 of 2,600 Palestinian structures identified as unpermitted demolished, against 88 of 606 settler structures.","test":"Fisher's exact test of two proportions","statistic":{"palestinian_demolished":770,"palestinian_identified":2600,"settler_demolished":88,"settler_identified":606},"p":2.66230887634986e-15,"effect":{"name":"Odds ratio, Palestinian against settler","value":2.48,"ci":[1.9460470771959757,3.1522460116772946]},"descriptive":{"palestinian_rate":0.296,"settler_rate":0.145},"ref":"§12","p_adjusted":5.32461775269972e-15,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Of structures the Civil Administration identified as built without a permit in 2022 and the first half of 2023, 30% of Palestinian structures were demolished against 14% of settler structures: the odds of demolition were 2.48 times higher for a Palestinian structure (95% CI 1.9 to 3.2)."},{"id":"H11a","group":"H11","title":"The total blockade of March to May 2025 and food prices in Gaza","null":"Food prices in the total blockade (March-May 2025) were the same as in the three months before (December 2024-February 2025).","data":"PCBS monthly prices in Gaza of 32 food items with a complete series (COICOP division 01), November 2023 to August 2026.","test":"Regression of log price on a period indicator with item fixed effects, errors clustered by item","statistic":{"items":32},"p":0.0003500985946211037,"effect":{"name":"Price ratio, after against before","value":1.3,"ci":[1.1256716897426062,1.5003344482470446]},"descriptive":{"index_before":3.89,"index_after":4.88},"sources":[{"title":"State of Palestine: Prices of Basic Commodities in Gaza","org":"Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (HDX)","date":"updated 13 September 2026","url":"https://data.humdata.org/dataset/state-of-palestine-price-of-basic-commodities-in-gaza"}],"ref":"§6.3","p_adjusted":0.0005001408494587196,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"During the total blockade of March to May 2025, food prices in Gaza rose 30% above the three months before (95% CI 13% to 50%), from 3.89 to 4.88 times their pre-war level."},{"id":"H11c","group":"H11","title":"Food prices in Gaza against their pre-war level","null":"Food prices in Gaza during the war were at their pre-war level.","data":"As H11a; each month's index is the geometric mean of the 32 items' prices relative to their average before 7 October 2023.","test":"One-sample t-test of the monthly log index against zero","statistic":{"months":34,"months_above_prewar":34},"p":1.8964357630489767e-13,"effect":{"name":"Mean price level against pre-war (geometric)","value":3.16,"ci":[2.5954827090486994,3.8518851426480247]},"descriptive":{"peak_month":"2025-06","peak_index":11.8},"ref":"§6.3","p_adjusted":3.5558170557168313e-13,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Across the 34 months of data, food in Gaza cost on average 3.16 times its pre-war price (95% CI 2.6 to 3.9), and was above its pre-war price in 34 of 34 months. At the peak, in 2025-06, it cost 11.8 times as much."},{"id":"H13","group":"H13","title":"Administrative detention, without charge or trial, before and after 7 October 2023","null":"The number of Palestinians held in administrative detention was the same after October 2023 as in 2008-2022.","data":"Israel Prison Service figures compiled by B'Tselem, end of each year 2008-2025 and 30 June 2026.","test":"Negative binomial regression of the yearly count on a post-October-2023 indicator, Newey-West errors (lag 1)","statistic":{"overdispersion_alpha":0.143,"pre_war_mean":418,"post_mean":3283,"pre_war_max":784},"p":7.48234898325599e-63,"effect":{"name":"Ratio, after against 2008-2022","value":7.85,"ci":[6.1656597275103895,9.990553649836126]},"sources":[{"title":"Statistics on Palestinians in Israeli custody","org":"B'Tselem","date":"June 2026","url":"https://www.btselem.org/statistics/detainees_and_prisoners"}],"ref":"§11","p_adjusted":2.0406406317970883e-62,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Israel held on average 3,283 Palestinians in administrative detention, without charge or trial, at each year end since October 2023, against 418 in 2008-2022: 7.85 times as many (95% CI 6.17 to 9.99). Every figure since 2023 is more than four times the highest year before it (784). These figures exclude those held as 'unlawful combatants'."},{"id":"H14a","group":"H14","title":"Journalists killed a year: the Gaza war against the Iraq war","null":"Journalists were killed at the same rate in the Gaza war as in the Iraq war.","data":"Committee to Protect Journalists: 209 journalists killed by Israel in the Gaza war to 30 June 2026 (CPJ's count after its June 2026 review, the lowest it has published) over 2.73 years; Iraq war: as counted by CPJ.","test":"Exact conditional test of two Poisson rates","statistic":{"gaza_per_year":76.6,"other_per_year":17.2},"p":4.931781771513047e-44,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, Gaza war against the Iraq war","value":4.46,"ci":[3.5995927866341755,5.53926367553171]},"sources":[{"title":"Israel-Gaza war","org":"Committee to Protect Journalists","date":"2026","url":"https://cpj.org/issue/israel-gaza-war/"},{"title":"Iraq war and news media: a look inside the death toll","org":"Committee to Protect Journalists","date":"March 2013","url":"https://cpj.org/2013/03/iraq-war-and-news-media-a-look-inside-the-death-to/"}],"ref":"§10","p_adjusted":1.2329454428782615e-43,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Journalists were killed by Israel in the Gaza war at 76.6 a year, against 17.2 a year in the Iraq war: 4.46 times the rate (95% CI 3.6 to 5.54). The Gaza figure is the lowest CPJ has published, after its June 2026 review removed names."},{"id":"H14b","group":"H14","title":"Journalists killed a year: the Gaza war against the Syrian civil war","null":"Journalists were killed at the same rate in the Gaza war as in the Syrian civil war.","data":"Committee to Protect Journalists: 209 journalists killed by Israel in the Gaza war to 30 June 2026 (CPJ's count after its June 2026 review, the lowest it has published) over 2.73 years; Syrian civil war: as counted by CPJ.","test":"Exact conditional test of two Poisson rates","statistic":{"gaza_per_year":76.6,"other_per_year":10.3},"p":9.037846825077418e-74,"effect":{"name":"Rate ratio, Gaza war against the Syrian civil war","value":7.46,"ci":[5.995621211398224,9.301956888504687]},"sources":[{"title":"Israel-Gaza war","org":"Committee to Protect Journalists","date":"2026","url":"https://cpj.org/issue/israel-gaza-war/"},{"title":"Iraq war and news media: a look inside the death toll","org":"Committee to Protect Journalists","date":"March 2013","url":"https://cpj.org/2013/03/iraq-war-and-news-media-a-look-inside-the-death-to/"}],"ref":"§10","p_adjusted":3.389192559404032e-73,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Journalists were killed by Israel in the Gaza war at 76.6 a year, against 10.3 a year in the Syrian civil war: 7.46 times the rate (95% CI 6 to 9.3). The Gaza figure is the lowest CPJ has published, after its June 2026 review removed names."},{"id":"H15a","group":"H15","title":"Destroyed buildings in Gaza across twelve satellite assessments","null":"The number of destroyed structures shows no monotonic trend across the assessments.","data":"UNOSAT comprehensive damage assessments, 12 imagery dates from 2023-11-07 to 2026-06-16.","test":"Kendall's tau (Mann-Kendall trend test)","statistic":{"assessments":12,"first":6583,"last":134422},"p":4.17535139757362e-09,"effect":{"name":"Kendall's tau","value":1.0},"sources":[{"title":"Gaza Strip Comprehensive Damage Assessment","org":"UNOSAT","date":"2023-2026","url":"https://unosat.org/products/4165"}],"ref":"§6.4","p_adjusted":7.368267172188741e-09,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Destroyed structures rose at every one of the twelve UNOSAT assessments, from 6,583 in November 2023 to 134,422 in June 2026 (Kendall's tau 1.0). The destruction was not a single episode; it continued through every phase of the war."},{"id":"H15b","group":"H15","title":"Buildings destroyed during the October 2025 ceasefire","null":"No further structures were destroyed in Gaza between the ceasefire of October 2025 and June 2026.","data":"UNOSAT: 123,464 structures destroyed at 11 October 2025, 134,422 at 16 June 2026.","test":"Count of newly destroyed structures, with an exact Poisson interval for the daily rate","statistic":{"destroyed_during_ceasefire":10958,"days":248},"p":null,"effect":{"name":"Structures destroyed a day during the ceasefire","value":44.2,"ci":[43.36201147510364,45.02066455297628]},"ref":"§6.4","status":"run","reading":"10,958 more structures were recorded as destroyed between the October 2025 ceasefire and June 2026, about 44 a day for 248 days. Some will be buildings damaged earlier that later collapsed or were cleared; the satellite count cannot separate those from new demolitions."},{"id":"H16a","group":"H16","title":"Palestinians killed who took no part in hostilities: Cast Lead, 2008-09","null":"No more than half of the Palestinians killed by Israeli forces, of those whose status B'Tselem could determine, took no part in the hostilities.","data":"B'Tselem: 773 took no part, 330 took part, 248 police officers (counted here as taking part), 36 undetermined (left out).","test":"Exact binomial test against one half (one-sided)","statistic":{"not_taking_part":773,"determined":1351},"p":6.221467845123555e-08,"effect":{"name":"Share who took no part in hostilities","value":0.572,"ci":[0.5495567499084691,1.0]},"sensitivity":[{"name":"Police officers left out rather than counted as taking part","value":0.701,"ci":[0.6773037357939077,1.0],"p":8.154930593906454e-42}],"sources":[{"title":"Fatality figures","org":"B'Tselem","date":"","url":"https://www.btselem.org/press_releases/20090909"}],"ref":"§10","p_adjusted":1.0369113075205925e-07,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Of those killed whose status B'Tselem could determine, 57% took no part in the hostilities (95% CI from 55%). This counts the police officers killed on the first day as taking part, the reading least favourable to the finding."},{"id":"H16c","group":"H16","title":"Palestinians killed who took no part in hostilities: Protective Edge, 2014","null":"No more than half of the Palestinians killed by Israeli forces, of those whose status B'Tselem could determine, took no part in the hostilities.","data":"B'Tselem: 1,391 took no part, 765 took part, 46 undetermined (left out).","test":"Exact binomial test against one half (one-sided)","statistic":{"not_taking_part":1391,"determined":2156},"p":3.599792983721704e-42,"effect":{"name":"Share who took no part in hostilities","value":0.645,"ci":[0.6278560002891684,1.0]},"sensitivity":[],"ref":"§10","p_adjusted":8.307214577819316e-42,"result":"null rejected","status":"run","reading":"Of those killed whose status B'Tselem could determine, 64% took no part in the hostilities (95% CI from 63%)."}]}